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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$86.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,508
Last 30 days +$0 · $250.6k volume · 115 trades · since Oct 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3,764
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$256
Closed-position win rate
83%
12 closed
Wallet age · markets
374d
11 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $22.0k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $19.4k | missed |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $44.9k 2.0× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb21d53…