saintaphextwin

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -8.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?+$49.5kYes · avg 11¢ → 76¢ · $58.3k Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?+$13.7kYes · avg 16¢ → 24¢ · $44.1k Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?−$13.6kYes · avg 9.7¢ → 6.5¢ · $27.4k Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$12.7kYes · avg 2.6¢ → 6.6¢ · $21.0k Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$1,177No · avg 80¢ → 86¢ · $18.3k Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?+$2,651Yes · avg 3.4¢ → 4.2¢ · $13.4k Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?+$2,299Yes · avg 2.8¢ → 3.5¢ · $10.8k Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?+$1,819Yes · avg 67¢ → 80¢ · $10.7k

Price-adjusted edge

-8.6 pts

Called / graded

0/2

Expected from price

0.2

Flagged volume

$88.6k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$10.1k

Last 30 days +$29.0k · $16.92M volume · 23,486 trades · since Dec 31, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.67M

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$1.34M

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

297d

1342 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	0	0.2	-8.6 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 8.9¢	$13.8k	9%	134d ago	missed
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$37.7k 2.8× usual	0%	146d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 8.3¢	$10.6k	8%	149d ago	missed
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢	$13.1k	59%	158d ago	called
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢	$13.3k	0%	177d ago	excluded

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 8.9¢$13.8k

LOW saintaphextwin · 134d ago

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$37.7k

LOW saintaphextwin · 146d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 8.3¢$10.6k

LOW saintaphextwin · 149d ago

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?called

BUY Yes @ 59¢$13.1k

LOW saintaphextwin · 158d ago

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢$13.3k

LOW saintaphextwin · 177d ago

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