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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -9.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-9.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$103.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$111.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.84M volume · 2,084 trades · since May 06, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$111.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
42%
102 closed
Wallet age · markets
171d
100 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -9.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 9.7¢ | $14.2k | missed |
 Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 60¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 30¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 63¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 57¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb0da4a…