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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$151.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$251.9k
Last 30 days +$62.2k · $27.81M volume · 51,859 trades · since Jan 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$3.62M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
3147 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Cloud9 @ 54¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
 Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY 1win @ 63¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $99.7k 9.2× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xafd492…