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+$218Over · avg 53¢ → 64¢ · $1,270+$283No · avg 33¢ → 90¢ · $448−$135Over · avg 95¢ → 72¢ · $435+$219Yes · avg 28¢ → 60¢ · $414−$10Yes · avg 33¢ → 32¢ · $320+$26Over · avg 40¢ → 50¢ · $123+$14Yes · avg 43¢ → 50¢ · $104+$25Yes · avg 17¢ → 50¢ · $38
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$105.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$53.2k
Last 30 days −$32.4k · $75.12M volume · 583,857 trades · since Nov 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.59M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$134.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
330d
78993 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $105.6k | excluded |
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