b324u

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +46.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+46.9 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

1.6

Flagged volume

$154.4k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.4 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$163.1k

Last 30 days −$90.0k · $6.67M volume · 1,366 trades · since Feb 25, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$883.9k

Open P&L · 54 positions

−$720.3k

Closed-position win rate

90%

39 closed

Wallet age · markets

241d

91 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	2	1.1	+42.5 pts
Other	1	1	0.4	+55.6 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Rams vs. Broncos	MED BUY Rams @ 47¢	$30.8k	47%	27d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢	$13.0k	65%	97d ago	called
Thunder vs. Lakers	LOW BUY Thunder @ 59¢	$23.6k	59%	165d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	LOW BUY Rockets @ 22¢	$10.5k	22%	183d ago	excluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	MED BUY PARIVISION @ 56¢	$27.3k	56%	184d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 47¢	$10.0k	47%	186d ago	excluded
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	LOW BUY Jannik Sinner @ 50¢	$14.3k	50%	196d ago	called
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢	$24.9k	44%	217d ago	called

Rams vs. Broncosexcluded

BUY Rams @ 47¢$30.8k

MED b324u · 27d ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 65¢$13.0k

LOW b324u · 97d ago

Thunder vs. Lakersexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 59¢$23.6k

LOW b324u · 165d ago

Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded

BUY Rockets @ 22¢$10.5k

LOW b324u · 183d ago

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsexcluded

BUY PARIVISION @ 56¢$27.3k

MED b324u · 184d ago

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageexcluded

BUY Natus Vincere @ 47¢$10.0k

LOW b324u · 186d ago

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnercalled

BUY Jannik Sinner @ 50¢$14.3k

LOW b324u · 196d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?called

BUY Yes @ 44¢$24.9k

LOW b324u · 217d ago

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