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+$365Yes · avg 46¢ → 82¢ · $830
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -47.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-47.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$28.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$6,829
Last 30 days −$16.8k · $12.00M volume · 25,287 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.93M
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$1,174
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
2372 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -47.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Wizards vs. Nets | LOW SELL Nets @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 47¢ | $14.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xaca239…