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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$86.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$46.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.45M volume · 406 trades · since Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$142.1k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$93
Closed-position win rate
34%
150 closed
Wallet age · markets
221d
186 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $11.6k | called |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 63¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xac1c91…