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+$1,315No · avg 84¢ → 95¢ · $11.3k−$393Yes · avg 90¢ → 72¢ · $1,607
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -10.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-10.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$10.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,214
Last 30 days −$638 · $64.4k volume · 10 trades · since Mar 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5,345
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$922
Closed-position win rate
100%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
218d
8 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -10.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $10.2k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xabd41f…