0xaa0e…2a0e

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +59.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$4No · avg 73¢ → 72¢ · $214 · 1 proven with, 0 against

Price-adjusted edge

+59.5 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.4

Flagged volume

$99.1k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.1 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$88.0k

Last 30 days −$943 · $4.00M volume · 5,230 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$345.9k

Open P&L · 323 positions

−$201.7k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

133d

1044 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.4	+59.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	LOW SELL Argentina @ 24¢	$14.6k	76%	101d ago	excluded
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Spain @ 45¢	$11.2k	45%	102d ago	excluded
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Spain @ 40¢	$16.2k	40%	103d ago	called
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY England @ 69¢	$10.9k	69%	105d ago	excluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY England @ 51¢	$25.5k	51%	111d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢	$20.6k	86%	113d ago	excluded

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded

SELL Argentina @ 24¢$14.6k

LOW 0xaa0e…2a0e · 101d ago

France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Spain @ 45¢$11.2k

LOW 0xaa0e…2a0e · 102d ago

France vs. Spain: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Spain @ 40¢$16.2k

LOW 0xaa0e…2a0e · 103d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY England @ 69¢$10.9k

LOW 0xaa0e…2a0e · 105d ago

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY England @ 51¢$25.5k

LOW 0xaa0e…2a0e · 111d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 86¢$20.6k

LOW 0xaa0e…2a0e · 113d ago

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