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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$233.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$24.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.10M volume · 466 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$22.1k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$2,101
Closed-position win rate
79%
28 closed
Wallet age · markets
367d
28 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 63¢ | $14.2k | missed |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 86¢ | $18.6k | missed |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | MED SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $66.7k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $70.2k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.2¢ | $36.4k | excluded |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa92cb7…