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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did +46.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+46.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$34.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$511.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.56M volume · 3,018 trades · since Jun 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$700.4k
Open P&L · 76 positions
−$186.0k
Closed-position win rate
60%
242 closed
Wallet age · markets
135d
279 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.1 | +46.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $11.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $23.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa80e58…