← Wallets
+$4,771No · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $12.9k+$977Yes · avg 60¢ → 82¢ · $3,644−$4,771Yes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $3,329+$227No · avg 85¢ → 96.2¢ · $1,868+$107No · avg 89¢ → 95.5¢ · $1,577+$80No · avg 81¢ → 86¢ · $1,411−$3,853Yes · avg 39¢ → 9.5¢ · $1,226−$2,352Yes · avg 20¢ → 6.6¢ · $1,125
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +9.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$22.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,207
Last 30 days −$422 · $2.98M volume · 8,537 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$52.3k
Open P&L · 65 positions
−$18.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
286d
1037 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +9.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $12.6k | called |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9f086a…