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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$141.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$8,531
Last 30 days −$102 · $3.30M volume · 5,762 trades · since Jan 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$94.3k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$43.3k
Closed-position win rate
63%
174 closed
Wallet age · markets
634d
164 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $21.3k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $15.3k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 22¢ | $14.7k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ | $15.5k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $26.3k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 83¢ | $34.8k 2.2× usual |
called |
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