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+$195No · avg 92.8¢ → 95.2¢ · $8,002+$770No · avg 88¢ → 97.8¢ · $7,820+$122No · avg 91.2¢ → 97.4¢ · $1,947+$196No · avg 86¢ → 95.8¢ · $1,916+$28No · avg 96.2¢ → 98.8¢ · $1,068+$106No · avg 84¢ → 97¢ · $824+$68No · avg 82¢ → 95.7¢ · $478
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -6.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-6.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$14.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,328
Last 30 days +$132 · $789.8k volume · 2,034 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$887
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$3,440
Closed-position win rate
68%
279 closed
Wallet age · markets
402d
231 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $14.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9e59f4…