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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$134.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$163.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $13.32M volume · 4,102 trades · since Sep 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$473.7k
Open P&L · 74 positions
−$455.2k
Closed-position win rate
74%
117 closed
Wallet age · markets
404d
126 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 91.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $38.8k | missed |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $17.8k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $38.6k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL No @ 13¢ | $22.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9db778…