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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +29.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+29.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$36.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$20.1k
Last 30 days −$6,560 · $1.55M volume · 1,038 trades · since May 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 454 closed
−$16.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
56%
454 closed
Wallet age · markets
157d
463 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +29.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 68¢ | $11.6k | called |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $25.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9c52f0…