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mrgoated

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$292.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$35.5k
Last 30 days −$0 · $2.09M volume · 345 trades · since Apr 05, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$45.4k
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$9,717
Closed-position win rate
71%
62 closed
Wallet age · markets
202d
81 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.0k0% 151d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.0k100% 151d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.1k0% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k100% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $20.4k0% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.7k
3.0× usual
100% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $20.4k0% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.2k0% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% 156d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $20.5k0% 157d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.5k100% 157d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 157d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k100% 157d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.2k0% 157d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% 157d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 158d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k100% 158d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.2k0% 158d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% 158d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 91¢ $12.8k9% 166d agoexcluded
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$17.0k
LOW mrgoated · 151d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$17.0k
LOW mrgoated · 151d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.1k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$20.3k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$20.4k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$30.7k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$20.4k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.2k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.2k
LOW mrgoated · 156d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$20.5k
LOW mrgoated · 157d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$20.5k
LOW mrgoated · 157d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.3k
LOW mrgoated · 157d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.3k
LOW mrgoated · 157d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.2k
LOW mrgoated · 157d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.2k
LOW mrgoated · 157d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.3k
LOW mrgoated · 158d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.3k
LOW mrgoated · 158d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.2k
LOW mrgoated · 158d ago
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$10.2k
LOW mrgoated · 158d ago
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?excluded
SELL Yes @ 91¢$12.8k
LOW mrgoated · 166d ago

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