mumps

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?−$206Yes · avg 21¢ → 11¢ · $224 Will US annex any territory in 2026?+$31Yes · avg 4.2¢ → 6¢ · $100 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?−$26Yes · avg 7.4¢ → 4.9¢ · $49 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?−$75Yes · avg 11¢ → 1.9¢ · $15

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$54.8k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$52.7k

Last 30 days −$326 · $1.87M volume · 847 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$65.1k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

78%

55 closed

Wallet age · markets

—

118 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢	$54.8k	99%	129d ago	excluded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$54.8k

LOW mumps · 129d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x9bac9cc44f57fbd31a02f4fe08545ccdc8958684"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x9bac9cc44f57fbd31a02f4fe08545ccdc8958684.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9bac9c…