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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -9.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-9.1 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$51.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.4k
Last 30 days −$2 · $416.0k volume · 901 trades · since Apr 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$11.4k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$4
Closed-position win rate
59%
309 closed
Wallet age · markets
549d
180 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | -9.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 94.2¢ | $14.0k | missed |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $37.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9b818c…