← Wallets
+$82No · avg 96.5¢ → 98.4¢ · $4,294−$760Yes · avg 47¢ → 36¢ · $2,380−$15No · avg 86¢ → 86¢ · $1,830−$28No · avg 96.8¢ → 95.2¢ · $1,626+$1No · avg 98.4¢ → 98.5¢ · $1,581+$68No · avg 90.3¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,499+$1No · avg 94.9¢ → 95¢ · $1,476−$10No · avg 98.3¢ → 97.7¢ · $1,465
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +42.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+42.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$11.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$43.0k
Last 30 days −$3,279 · $24.88M volume · 226,007 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$195.4k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$27.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
719d
2751 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +42.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $11.7k | called |
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