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fullamount

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -0.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-0.4 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$24.4k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$2,204
Last 30 days −$1,881 · $1.31M volume · 191 trades · since Nov 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$41.1k
Open P&L · 58 positions
−$58.4k
Closed-position win rate
77%
30 closed
Wallet age · markets
357d
90 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports211.0-0.4 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ $12.7k60% 97d agocalled
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ $11.7k41% 97d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9a06e9…