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Clodsire

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +47.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?−$21.5kYes · avg 18¢ → 3.8¢ · $5,618
Price-adjusted edge
+47.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$80.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$23.0k
Last 30 days −$26.4k · $2.34M volume · 4,997 trades · since Oct 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$26.4k
Open P&L · 40 positions
−$47.7k
Closed-position win rate
84%
55 closed
Wallet age · markets
735d
95 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.5+47.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 53¢ $13.4k53% 203d agocalled
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona WildcatsLOW BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 72¢ $66.8k72% 209d agoexcluded

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