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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +68.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+68.2 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$54.4k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,965
Last 30 days +$0 · $396.1k volume · 3,668 trades · since May 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$27.3k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$523
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
165d
1177 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | +68.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $10.2k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $10.3k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.0k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x942a93…