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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$348.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$24.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.21M volume · 128 trades · since May 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$1,904
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$22.4k
Closed-position win rate
67%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
156d
11 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $71.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $27.2k | called |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 26¢ | $27.3k | missed |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $35.0k | called |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $11.0k | called |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $176.5k 5.7× usual |
missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9390a8…