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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -6.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.7 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$64.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$9,796
Last 30 days +$0 · $944.6k volume · 693 trades · since Oct 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,698
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
94%
82 closed
Wallet age · markets
—
83 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | -6.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 92.7¢ | $20.7k | missed |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $14.1k | missed |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x918cf1…