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dmister413

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$182.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$199.2k
Last 30 days −$11.4k · $1.78M volume · 63 trades · since Jan 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$26.5k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$158.0k
Closed-position win rate
38%
8 closed
Wallet age · markets
293d
19 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceMED BUY France @ 39¢ $40.0k
2.0× usual
39% 101d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 44¢ $16.7k56% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $19.8k52% 120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ $42.4k
2.1× usual
55% 120d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 42¢ $10.0k42% 132d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Knicks @ 10¢ $10.3k90% 135d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Knicks @ 23¢ $43.8k
2.2× usual
23% 135d agoexcluded

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