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+$1No · avg 91¢ → 96.7¢ · $12−$6Yes · avg 95.9¢ → 60¢ · $9
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$24.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$9
Last 30 days −$2 · $25.3k volume · 31 trades · since Feb 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$4
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$5
Closed-position win rate
90%
20 closed
Wallet age · markets
264d
22 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8d9260…