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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +9.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+9.5 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$40.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,738
Last 30 days +$0 · $225.7k volume · 7 trades · since Jul 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$45.2k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$38.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
107d
5 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 0.7 | +9.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $10.9k | called |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $11.3k | missed |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $18.1k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8a9f9d…