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spreadcorearb

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?−$721No · avg 61¢ → 56¢ · $7,278
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$54.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$53.5k
Last 30 days −$51.3k · $3.32M volume · 3,697 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$132.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$721
Closed-position win rate
55%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
116d
499 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $10.4k52% 27d agoexcluded
Giants vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 78¢ $10.4k78% 32d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY FURIA @ 70¢ $10.1k70% 62d agoexcluded
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Spirit @ 82¢ $23.6k
2.3× usual
82% 63d agoexcluded

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