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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$186.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,944
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.19M volume · 982 trades · since Jan 29, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$8,028
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$12.5k
Closed-position win rate
65%
51 closed
Wallet age · markets
268d
51 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $48.8k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $13.5k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $11.3k | called |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 91.1¢ | $43.1k | missed |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $41.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x894153…