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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$183.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$13.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $788.9k volume · 173 trades · since Feb 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$13.5k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$500
Closed-position win rate
62%
98 closed
Wallet age · markets
247d
92 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $19.9k | called |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $41.4k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $23.0k | called |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $23.0k | called |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $23.6k | missed |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $10.5k | called |
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