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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +44.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+44.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$106.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$22.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $7.53M volume · 6,822 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.35M
Open P&L · 208 positions
−$1.31M
Closed-position win rate
89%
351 closed
Wallet age · markets
767d
547 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +44.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 53¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW SELL Team WE @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 59¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $14.3k | called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x86279a…