← Wallets
+$1,760Yes · avg 82¢ → 91.5¢ · $17.1k+$115No · avg 95.9¢ → 97.5¢ · $6,815+$8No · avg 93¢ → 93.5¢ · $1,508+$8No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $1,458
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +8.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+8.4 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$24.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,338
Last 30 days +$1,038 · $549.6k volume · 761 trades · since Jul 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,291
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$3,109
Closed-position win rate
77%
207 closed
Wallet age · markets
465d
202 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +11.7 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $12.5k | called |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $11.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x861307…