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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$178.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$88.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.31M volume · 2,801 trades · since Jul 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$88.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
71%
232 closed
Wallet age · markets
468d
224 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.4¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $59.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $59.1k 2.4× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x85d575…