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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$66.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.43M volume · 564 trades · since Mar 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$16.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
63%
71 closed
Wallet age · markets
1302d
68 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.2¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.4¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x830e68…