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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -58.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-58.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$115.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$182.3k
Last 30 days −$37.7k · $1.49M volume · 1,559 trades · since Apr 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$16.4k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$198.1k
Closed-position win rate
54%
52 closed
Wallet age · markets
206d
62 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -58.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $56.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 53¢ | $29.4k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Warriors @ 76¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | LOW BUY Suns @ 58¢ | $13.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x813a53…