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0x7fe4…8bfd

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?+$0No · avg 95¢ → 95.8¢ · $12
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$31.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12
Last 30 days −$5 · $32.1k volume · 27 trades · since Feb 12, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$13
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
90%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
254d
22 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $15.8k1% 254d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $15.8k99% 254d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7fe49b…