← Wallets
+$9Down · avg 95¢ → 95.5¢ · $1,499−$37No · avg 9.3¢ → 6.9¢ · $103
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+6.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$60.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$21.5k
Last 30 days −$564 · $1.30M volume · 919 trades · since Oct 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 400 closed
−$5,333
Open P&L · 72 positions
−$13.6k
Closed-position win rate
44%
400 closed
Wallet age · markets
371d
464 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 93.6¢ | $16.0k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $21.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7de148…