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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +54.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+54.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$93.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$13.6k
Last 30 days −$14.5k · $19.50M volume · 6,323 trades · since Oct 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3,449
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$16.9k
Closed-position win rate
73%
303 closed
Wallet age · markets
366d
295 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +54.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 59¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.5k | excluded |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 46¢ | $46.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7b8c5e…