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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -6.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.6 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$29.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$29.0k
Last 30 days +$1,670 · $2.79M volume · 2,675 trades · since Mar 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$580.5k
Open P&L · 370 positions
−$349.1k
Closed-position win rate
97%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
228d
1074 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -6.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 59¢ | $14.6k | called |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 54¢ | $15.1k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x791e45…