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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$209.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $837.7k volume · 230 trades · since May 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$23.5k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$2,849
Closed-position win rate
62%
110 closed
Wallet age · markets
145d
114 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.3¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 52¢ | $34.6k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 95¢ | $30.7k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $84.5k 3.3× usual |
missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x785fd6…