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+$9Yes · avg 93.4¢ → 97.9¢ · $205+$11Yes · avg 87¢ → 97.9¢ · $98−$25No · avg 95.4¢ → 71¢ · $71−$64No · avg 91¢ → 46¢ · $64−$2No · avg 98.1¢ → 89¢ · $22+$17Yes · avg 8¢ → 42¢ · $21+$2No · avg 85¢ → 94.6¢ · $19
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$70.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,437
Last 30 days +$32 · $3.03M volume · 5,817 trades · since Oct 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$22.8k
Open P&L · 47 positions
−$22.0k
Closed-position win rate
86%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
365d
520 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
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