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Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +20.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A−$9751win · avg 60¢ → 28¢ · $825

Price-adjusted edge

+20.4 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$292.2k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$70.3k

Last 30 days −$62.4k · $8.31M volume · 9,797 trades · since Feb 28, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.39M

Open P&L · 2 positions

+$1,517

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

238d

1501 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.8	+20.4 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Colts vs. Commanders	LOW BUY Colts @ 97¢	$28.0k	97%	19d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$106.6k 3.8× usual	100%	142d ago	excluded
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 80¢	$31.8k	80%	151d ago	called
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	MED BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢	$75.1k 2.7× usual	82%	159d ago	excluded
Pistons vs. Magic	LOW BUY Pistons @ 99.9¢	$26.5k	100%	175d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 75¢	$11.2k	75%	184d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	LOW BUY Team Spirit @ 54¢	$13.0k	54%	186d ago	excluded

Colts vs. Commandersexcluded

BUY Colts @ 97¢$28.0k

LOW llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 19d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$106.6k

LOW llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 142d ago

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffscalled

BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 80¢$31.8k

LOW llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 151d ago

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsexcluded

BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢$75.1k

MED llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 159d ago

Pistons vs. Magicexcluded

BUY Pistons @ 99.9¢$26.5k

LOW llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 175d ago

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2excluded

BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 75¢$11.2k

LOW llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 184d ago

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageexcluded

BUY Team Spirit @ 54¢$13.0k

LOW llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIII · 186d ago

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