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+$560No · avg 87¢ → 94.5¢ · $6,778
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -5.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-5.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$25.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.9k
Last 30 days +$717 · $251.3k volume · 172 trades · since Jan 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$11.4k
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$560
Closed-position win rate
91%
23 closed
Wallet age · markets
649d
24 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -5.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $11.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x76f9ea…