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0x76db…37b0

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +13.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+13.6 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$21.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,884
Last 30 days +$0 · $248.7k volume · 252 trades · since Nov 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$1,884
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
67%
39 closed
Wallet age · markets
720d
39 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Politics110.9+13.6 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW BUY Seahawks @ 89¢ $11.3k89% 257d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $10.1k86% 390d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x76db4e…