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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -44.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-44.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$24.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,229
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.43M volume · 5,568 trades · since Mar 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$90.7k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$93.1k
Closed-position win rate
70%
40 closed
Wallet age · markets
224d
56 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -44.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 Will France win on 2026-03-29? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $13.2k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x76beb7367e12c07978fab906b652aa89e14c120e"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x76beb7367e12c07978fab906b652aa89e14c120e.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x76beb7…