← Wallets
+$861No · avg 95.8¢ → 96.8¢ · $88.1k−$4No · avg 95.2¢ → 95.2¢ · $3,039−$9Yes · avg 92.6¢ → 91.5¢ · $795+$12No · avg 94.7¢ → 96.5¢ · $647+$5No · avg 95.3¢ → 96.2¢ · $505−$1No · avg 96¢ → 95.9¢ · $499−$19Yes · avg 90.9¢ → 76¢ · $95−$14Yes · avg 95.4¢ → 79¢ · $63
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +6.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+6.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$24.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$20.2k
Last 30 days +$1,581 · $547.5k volume · 212 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$11.3k
Open P&L · 9 positions
+$832
Closed-position win rate
94%
47 closed
Wallet age · markets
738d
56 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +6.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.9k | called |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $10.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7460ec…