← Wallets
+$1,814Yes · avg 16¢ → 30¢ · $3,899+$501No · avg 18¢ → 22¢ · $2,340+$572No · avg 14¢ → 27¢ · $1,192−$30Yes · avg 9.7¢ → 9.4¢ · $1,166+$330No · avg 21¢ → 36¢ · $773−$92Yes · avg 9.2¢ → 7.5¢ · $416−$569Yes · avg 14¢ → 2.1¢ · $108+$6No · avg 45¢ → 54¢ · $37
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +22.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+22.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$11.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±41.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.7k
Last 30 days +$854 · $821.6k volume · 359 trades · since Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.7k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$9,095
Closed-position win rate
53%
62 closed
Wallet age · markets
841d
100 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +22.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $11.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x73bb53…