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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$225.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$19.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $685.0k volume · 477 trades · since Mar 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$12.4k
Open P&L · 47 positions
−$16.9k
Closed-position win rate
86%
90 closed
Wallet age · markets
223d
142 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 90.8¢ | $23.0k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $23.2k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $23.0k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $23.5k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $23.5k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $22.8k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 76¢ | $16.0k | called |
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